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When Follow-On Funding Vanished: Africa Tech’s Survival Test

In the heat of the 2019–2021 venture capital bull run, Africa was the final frontier for global capital. High-profile funds from Beijing, Dubai, and Silicon Valley touched down in Lagos and Nairobi, writing checks at record speeds. By 2025, however, the landscape tells a different story.

Of the hundreds of funds active during that peak, over 500 “tourist investors” have effectively vanished from the continent’s deal flow. Their departure has left behind a landscape of “orphaned” startups — some of which have thrived through forced discipline, while others have collapsed under the weight of unsustainable models.

The Scale of the Exodus

The “tourist” era was characterized by investors who lacked local presence, Africa-specific mandates, or the stomach for long-term emerging market volatility. According to analysis of activity between 2015 and 2025, the retreat spanned every major investor category.

Major Departures by Category (2015–2021 vs. 2025)

Investor CategoryNotable DeparturesPrimary Reason for Exit
Chinese VCsMSA Capital, Sequoia China, IDG CapitalGeopolitics, domestic regulation
Crypto/BlockchainBinance Labs, Polychain, AU212022–23 “Crypto Winter”
US Micro-VCsLateral Capital, Ludlow VenturesFund consolidation, refocus on US
Growth/Late-StageDST Global, Greycroft, TPG GrowthLack of IPO/exit track record
Corporate StrategicTencent, Yamaha, Allianz XPortfolio pruning, ROI disappointment

1. The Chinese Withdrawal: A Geopolitical Pivot

The most dramatic exit came from China. Between 2019 and 2020, Chinese VCs fueled the “super-app” wars in Nigeria and Egypt. Today, that capital has almost entirely dried up.

Funds like MSA Capital and Sequoia Capital China, which once backed giants like OPay and Lori Systems, are no longer active in new African deals. This retreat was driven by a “perfect storm”: a regulatory crackdown on tech within China, the US-China tech war, and the realization that the “copy-paste” model from the Chinese ecosystem didn’t always translate to African infrastructure.

2. The Orphanage: Survivors vs. Failures

The departure of 110+ investors created a class of “orphaned” startups. Their fate was determined by one factor: Unit Economics.

The Survivors: OPay and PalmPay

Surprisingly, the two largest remnants of the Chinese era — OPay and PalmPay — are thriving in 2025.

The Graveyard: Logistics and Mobility

The casualties are concentrated in capital-intensive sectors.

In these sectors, the “tourist” model of subsidizing growth to capture market share proved fatal when the bridge to the next round was burned.

3. The Sector Patterns: Where the Music Stopped

The exodus was not evenly distributed. Logistics and e-commerce saw the highest failure rates, while fintech showed more resilience due to its ability to generate transactional revenue.

4. Why the Tourists Left

The data points to three fundamental disconnects:

  1. The Exit Drought: Between 2022 and 2024, there were no meaningful IPOs or large-scale acquisitions. Growth tourists, looking for a 5-year liquidity event, realized the African timeline is often 10+ years.
  2. Currency Volatility: The dramatic devaluations of the Nigerian Naira and Egyptian Pound destroyed dollar-denominated returns, making even “successful” local companies look like failures on a global balance sheet.
  3. Lack of Proximity: Investors without “boots on the ground” struggled to provide the hands-on support needed to navigate local regulatory shifts (like the Lagos bike ban).

5. Who Stayed? The “Committed” Base

What remains in 2025 is a leaner, more specialized investor base. These are the funds with dedicated Africa mandates or Development Finance Institution (DFI) backing.

These investors share a common trait: they view Africa not as a speculative “side-bet,” but as a core component of their long-term strategy.

The Bottom Line: A Healthier Ecosystem?

The “Tourist Era” was a painful but perhaps necessary maturation phase. While 500+ investors left and hundreds of millions of dollars in valuation evaporated, the startups that remain are battle-hardened.

The era of “growth at any cost” has been replaced by an era of “sustainability at all costs.” For the African tech ecosystem, 2025 marked the end of the hype cycle and the beginning of a more realistic, albeit slower, building phase.

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